A very challenging upcoming weekend as there are many close games to call. Lets get started !
First off, the lone undefeated team from the Mountain West Conference, T.C.U. meets up with the Clemson Tigers on Saturday. T.C.U. is the last remaining hope for the Mountain West to gain a BCS bid, but after this weekend, I think that will evaporate. Clemson coach Dabo Swinney has the Tigers improving every week and their defensive effort last week in a win over Boston College (where they gave up a total of 58 yards) was nothing short of sensational. QB play is still a concern for the Tigers as Kyle Parker has yet to flash any big play ability despite having receiving threat Jacoby Ford and C.J. Spiller, one of the most exciting players out of the backfield and returning kicks. The Horned Frogs of T.C.U. have been steady this year and already embarassed one ACC team (Virginia) to the tune of 34-7. The strength of the T.C.U. squad is the defense, especially All-American End, Jerry Hughes. I smell UPSET in this one as the home team ruins the Horned Frogs chance for BCS glory:
PREDICTION: Clemson 20-T.C.U. 16
The "Battle for Indiana" as Notre Dame invades West Lafayette and the Purdue Boilermakers. First year coach Danny Hope will have to figure a way to contain the Irish offense. One major key to this game is the availability of Notre Dame QB Jimmy Clausen (turf toe). Reports out of South Bend are that Freshman, Dayne Crist out of Sherman Oaks, CA will start in place of the injured Clausen. Crist has some major upside but Clausen has been playing at a Heisman level. I believe the Irish will rely heavily on their running game, featuring Armando Allen, Robert Huges and company to control the line of scrimmage and the clock. Purdue does have a very good back in Ralph Bolden, who will get his yards, but in the end, no matter which Notre Dame QB starts or finishes the game, I like the Irish:
PREDICTION: Notre Dame 34-Purdue 17
My Washington Huskies travel south to Stanford to take on Jim Harbaugh and the Cardinals. We all know I'm "Husky Pride" but there has to be a major letdown after such an emotional win last week and the week following that epic game. Stanford should be undefeated (blowing a 17-0 lead against Wake Forest) and rising star QB Andrew Luck will not need any to derail the Huskies. Watch for Stanford tailback, Toby Gerhart (reminds me of "Touchdown" Tommy Vardell) but with more speed, to rush for 100 + and Luck to exploit the young Huskies secondary. "IF" Washington coach Sarkisian can someone pull this one off....the Huskies will be truly back, but I just don't see it this week:
PREDICTION: Stanford 36-Washington 23
This is my EASY pick of the week. Hey, with this weeks difficult schedule I need the Longhorns to break up the UTEP Miners. Evidently, Colt McCoy was under the weather last weekend for the Texas Tech game which might help explain why he was a little off. No such luck this time around for coach Prices' Miners. McCoy will put up the usual McCoy numbers (300 yards, 3 TD's) and rush for 40-50 yards and another TD. I like a Texas romp here:
PREDICTION: Texas 45-UTEP (Univeristy of Texas El Paso) 10
A very intriguing matchup involving the Big East and the ACC as the Pitt Panthers meet N.C. State. The Panthers are off to their first 3-0 start since 2000 but their undefeated record finally ends here (sorry Hixson). QB Bill Stull (after playing well in a win over Navy last week) will return to his unreliable self and Wolfpack QB Russell Wilson will finally show some of that promise that has been expected of him this season.
PREDICTION: N.C. State 27-Pittsburgh 17
L.S.U. goes on the road to battle Mississippi St. and new coach Dan Mullen (former Florida offensive coordinator). The Bulldogs have shown more offense this year under Mullen but this week it's time for the Tigers to finally WAKE UP and play like they are supposed to play. Too much talent on the Tigers side of the ball (offensive and defensive) for the Bulldogs to challenge. I know every game in the SEC is a battle but I like L.S.U. to step up bigtime in this game.
PREDICTION: L.S.U. 38-Mississippi St. 13
Brian Kelly and his band of Bearcats play host to Fresno St. The Bulldogs of Fresno St. have played in some very close games (both losses) to Wisconsin and Boise St. One thing Cincinnati has to deal with is Fresno tailback Ryan Mathews (who ripped Boise St. for over 200 yards). QB Tony Pike has been absolutely lighting up defenses and that should continue this week. I don't see Fresno St. stopping the Bearcats vaunted passing attack:
PREDICTION: Cincinnati 43-Fresno St. 21
Speaking of the above mentioned Boise St., the Broncos meet up with Bowling Green of the MAC. Other than Houston (and we'll get to them later), Boise seems to be the only viable threat to crash the BCS party if they can avoid the pitfalls and manage to get through their schedule unscathed. The Broncos did get a scare out of Fresno last Friday, I don't see this game being close:
PREDICTION: Boise St. 51-Bowling Green 10
Tate "May The" Forcier Be With You......can't help it, love this true freshman (more playmaking ability so far than the much more heralded Matt Barkley at USC). The Hoosiers of Indiana come calling in the Big 10 opener for both. Indiana has a strong offensive line and will test the Wolverine defense. Problem is, I don't think they can contain or slow down the Michigan offense. Look for the other freshman QB Dennard Robinson to see more action as he gets more adjusted to coach Rodgriguez' offensive system. Too much Maize and Blue that will turn the Hoosier defense Black and Blue !
PREDICTION: Michigan 34-Indiana 14
Now for the start of the REALLY close and tough games to pick. Lets start with the Houston Cougars playing host to the Red Raiders from Texas Tech. This is the best a Houston Cougar team has looked since Bill Yeomans late 1970's teams (Danny Davis, Randy Love and Emmitt King). I actually liked the way Texas Tech battled back at Texas last week. They showed some true grit ! I also think Red Raider QB Taylor Potts is the REAL DEAL ! He is the BEST pro prospect in a lineage of Mike Leach QB's at Tech. He has size (6'-5", 220) and a cannon for an arm (very comparable to Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett). Houston QB Case Keenum has been outstanding this year and a great game by him will bring up the Heisman talk. "IF" the Cougs can get by Texas Tech, they will be favored in every one of their remaining games and a possible BCS berth at the end of the season. A very week conference (Conference USA) will hurt their chances but non-conference wins over Oklahoma St. (ranked #5 at the time) and Texas Tech should improve their positioning: All being said, I really think that the Tech defense will "slow" down the Houston offensive machine and Potts will have a big day. High scoring affair but in the end, Potts and the Tech defense will make more plays than Keenum and the Cougar defense:
PREDICTION: Texas Tech 44-Houston 35
What a first SEC game for Ryan Mallett (400 yards and 5 TD's). Too bad the Hogs have NO defense. Alabama has superior talent on both sides of the ball. Playmakers at every position and in QB Greg McElroy, an upgrade from Parker-Wilson last year. Remember, super soph receiver Julio Jones has only caught FIVE passes all season long ! That dawg, won't hunt ! Mallett will get his yards, but will take some punishment from the Tide pass rush. I like Alabama's ability to run the ball with Mark Ingram to control the clock and limit Arkansas touches:
PREDICTION: Alabama 41-Arkansas 17
After dismantling the B.Y.U. Cougars in what was the Seminoles most impressive performance in years, Florida St. takes on cross state foe South Florida. Orginally I thought this game would be played pretty even and pretty close. The problem is, All-Everything QB Matt Grothe is out for the year (torn ACL) and the Bulls have NO proven backup. Grothe is South Florida's career passing leader and playing without him the remainder of the year is not good news for the boys from Tampa. Noles' QB Christian Ponder took a big step in the opening game versus Miami and another in last weeks win over the Cougars. He is playing with poise and smarts ! I like the wide outs, especially Jarmon Fortson, a 6'-3", 220 freak of an athlete. He will create mismatches all over the field and the Noles' defense will get after whoever plays in the South Florida backfield:
PREDICTION: Florida St. 33-South Florida 0
Revenge....can you say REVENGE ??? That's exactly what Penn St. is looking for as they host the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa knocked Penn St. out of the BCS Championship game on a last second FG. Even though the Nittany Lion defense is less than full strength (linebacker Sean Lee out) and Navarro Bowman is less than 100%, I like the Penn St. offense (especially running back Evan Royster) to heat up and help out Darrell Clark and the passing game. Do remember, Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz has won 6 out of the last 7 meetings with Joe Pa. I like Paterno to turn the tables on Ferentz: Get Ready for the WHITE OUT !
PREDICTION: Penn St. 20-Iowa 10
Jahvid Best takes his Heisman campaign to Eugene, OR and a date with the Ducks. Oregon has played better as of late but did not look that sharp in a win over Utah last week. They came up big in the kicking game (kick off return for a TD) and some big time punt yardage. Slowing down Best will be a chore. The best thing Cal has going (besides Best) is the QB play of Kevin Riley. I believe Oregon will stick 8 men in the box and MAKE Riley beat them with his arm. Good plan...except Best is so good, he can beat a stacked line...and he has had excellent blocking from a very good offensive line. Ducks QB Masoli has to play a mistake free game and FINALLY show some kind of a passing threat ! Oregon freshman RB LaMichael James has been effective.....he is good, but not the BEST..as in Jahvid BEST.
PREDICTION: California 40-Oregon 31
The best for last.....Jacory Harris and his golden arm visit the hostile confines of Lane Stadium and the Hokies of Virginia Tech. The Miami offense has looked UNSTOPPABLE ! Harris has been throwing short, intermidiate, deep and to his receivers and backs with consistency and efficiency. Other than Clausen, there has been none finer ! The Tech offense struggled bigtime versus Nebraska last week but did hit the big play when they needed to in winning a close game. QB Tyrod Taylor can use his legs to escape the Canes' pressure but it is up to Bud Foster and that Va. Tech defense to slow down Harris and the Miami passing game. Easier said than done ! Miami is hurting a bit on the defensive line (missing DT Marcus Fortson and DT Jeremy Lewis) which effects the D-Line rotation that the Canes' like to use. Miami has the swagger back....tough game, a punch in the mouth game, a physical game, 75,000 screaming Hokie fans.....will go home dissapointed.
PREDICTION: Miami, FL. 27-Virginia Tech 17